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气候变化已经明显影响到人类的健康,造成疾病负担的加重,因此,开展气候变化对人群疾病负担影响的研究显得尤为重要。目前气候变化疾病负担的评估主要应用了环境疾病负担(EBD)的评估方法,主要为伤残调整寿命年(DALY)的计算和风险评估模型(CRA)的应用。该文综述了国内外气候变化疾病负担评估的基本方法,通过计算基准年的DALY值、应用CRA模型来计算归因分值(PAF)、总的疾病负担与归因分值的乘积等一系列步骤,最终得出归因于气候变化的疾病负担。
As climate change has significantly affected human health and caused a greater burden of disease, research on the impact of climate change on the burden of disease on populations is of particular importance. The current assessment of the burden of disease on climate change is based on the assessment of the Environmental Burden of Disease (EBD), mainly the calculation of the disability-adjusted life year (DALY) and the application of the risk assessment model (CRA). This paper summarizes the basic methods of assessing the burden of climate change at home and abroad by calculating the DALY value of the base year, applying the CRA model to calculate the product of the attribution score (PAF), the total disease burden and the attribution score The steps that ultimately result in the burden of disease due to climate change.