论文部分内容阅读
本文分析2008年《劳动合同法》是否会降低企业投资水平,并在宏观层面拖累中国经济增长。研究发现:《劳动合同法》对国有企业投资的影响较弱;但是会显著降低民营企业的投资水平,而且这种效应主要体现在劳动密集型行业,同时这些效应对民营上市公司存在一个“阵痛”期。进一步的检验发现,《劳动合同法》对中国区域经济增长会产生负面影响,而且这种效应主要体现在民营经济投资占比高、民营经济提供就业多的区域。这表明,相对于具有雇员软约束的国有企业,以强化员工保护为目的的《劳动合同法》会降低民营企业的投资水平,进而拖累中国经济增长。就政府政策而言,要保持我国经济的持续快速增长,政府需要制定一些替代性的政策,以对冲《劳动合同法》给企业增加的雇员负担。
This article analyzes whether the 2008 Labor Contract Law will reduce the investment level of enterprises and drag China’s economic growth on a macroeconomic level. The study found that the Labor Contract Law has a weak impact on the investment of state-owned enterprises, but it will significantly reduce the investment level of private-owned enterprises, and this effect is mainly reflected in the labor-intensive industries. At the same time, these effects have a “ Pain ”period. Further tests found that “Labor Contract Law” will have a negative impact on China’s regional economic growth, and this effect is mainly reflected in the high proportion of private economy investment, the private economy to provide more employment in the region. This shows that the Labor Contract Law, which aims to strengthen the protection of employees, will lower the investment level of private enterprises and drag down China’s economic growth relative to state-owned enterprises with employee soft constraints. In terms of government policies, in order to maintain the sustained and rapid economic growth in our country, the government needs to formulate some alternative policies to hedge the increased employee burden on enterprises from the Labor Contract Law.