论文部分内容阅读
风险评价是风险管理和风险控制的基础,为了保证石油钻井安全顺利进行,很多学者都在致力于研究钻井风险评价的问题。本文统计了近18年的钻井风险评估的文献,总结了文献数量和评价方法随时间变化的现状,并选择应用最多的四种方法,从他们的输入、输出、评价步骤、适用条件及优缺点等方面对他们进行对比分析,并对钻井风险评价的发展趋势进行了预测,可为现场的钻井风险评估提供一定的理论依据。
Risk assessment is the basis of risk management and risk control. To ensure the smooth progress of oil drilling, many scholars are devoted to studying the risk assessment of drilling. This paper collects the literature of drilling risk assessment in recent 18 years, summarizes the current situation of literature quantity and evaluation method changing with time, and chooses the four most used methods from their input, output, evaluation steps, applicable conditions and advantages and disadvantages Etc., and forecast the development trend of drilling risk assessment, which can provide some theoretical basis for on-site drilling risk assessment.