与传统的武器系统效能静态评估方法相比较,针对鱼雷武器系统作战使用过程中各阶段态势环境的不确定性,运用模糊数学和层次分析理论,提出了一种新的动态评估方法——模糊概率法。给出了该评估方法的数学模型和一般步骤,通过具体算例说明了该方法是可行且有效的。 Compared with the traditional method of static evaluation of weapon system effectiveness, aiming at the uncertainty of the environment and environment in each phase of the operation of torpedo weapon system, a new dynamic assessment method is proposed based on fuzzy mathematics and analytic hierarchy process. law. The mathematical model and general steps of this method are given, and a concrete example shows that this method is feasible and effective.