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文章以厦门市为中国东部沿海城市代表,分析经济增长与环境污染程度之间关系。对该市1985～2005年环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)的拟合表明,除工业粉尘和废气排放量分别为正U和N字形发展外,厦门市环境污染指标变化大体上遵循EKC,并且这些EKC曲线转折点相对较低。目前厦门市污染排放已处于倒U形右端的下降时期。同时发现,人口因素和城市绿化率对环境污染状况作用不显著,受产品结构影响,对外贸易总的来说会加重污染排放水平。文章强调政府在控制环境污染,降低转折点水平中的重要作用。
Taking Xiamen as the representative of the coastal cities in eastern China, the article analyzes the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution. The fitting of EKC from 1985 to 2005 in this city shows that the change of environmental pollution index in Xiamen generally follows EKC, except for the positive U and N-shaped emission of industrial dust and emissions, and These EKC curves have relatively low turning points. At present, Xiamen City, pollution emissions have been down in the inverted U-shaped right end. At the same time, it is found that the population factor and urban greening rate have no significant effect on the status of environmental pollution. Affected by the product structure, foreign trade generally aggravates the level of pollution discharge. The article emphasizes the government’s important role in controlling environmental pollution and reducing the turning point.