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钢材价格上涨将加大下游行业成本走高压力。本文以投入产出分析法为基础,构建包含行业供需情况和政府调控力度在内的价格影响模型,对钢材价格传导效应进行实证测算。得出钢材价格上涨对四类主要下游行业产品价格影响作用的排序为:家电制造业>建筑业>汽车船舶制造业>房地产业,除家电制造业外,其余行业产品价格受钢材价格上涨影响均有限。本文认为,应重点关注家电制造业的价格波动,把握好政府调控手段的介入时机,正确认识上下游间的价格传导成因和效应,继续坚定不移地推进供给侧结构性改革。
Steel prices will increase the pressure on downstream industries higher costs. Based on the input-output analysis method, this paper constructs a price impact model that includes the industry supply and demand and the government regulation and control, and makes an empirical calculation of the steel price transmission effect. The author concludes that the influence of the rising price of steel on the prices of the four major downstream industries is as follows: Home Appliance Manufacturing> Construction Industry> Automobile Shipbuilding Industry> Real Estate Industry, Except for Household Appliance Manufacturing Industry, Prices of Other Industries Affected by Price Increase of Steel Products limited. This paper argues that we should focus on the price volatility of home appliance manufacturing, grasp the timing of government intervention, correctly understand the causes and effects of price transmission between upstream and downstream, and continue unswervingly to promote supply-side structural reform.