预期2013年中国经济同比增长8%,略高于去年。人民币仍然有小幅升值的空间,可能在年底达到兑美元6.15左右的水平决定2013年,中国宏观经济走势的有两个方面的因素:结构性的因素和周期性的因素。从结构性因素看,中国在2007年后一直面临着潜在增长率逐步放缓的问题。结构性的放缓有多方面的原因,如 It is expected that China’s economy will grow by 8% in 2013, slightly higher than last year. There is still room for a slight appreciation of the renminbi and it is likely to reach the level of around 6.15 U.S. dollars by the end of the year. There are two aspects to China’s macroeconomic trends in 2013: structural factors and cyclical factors. From a structural point of view, China has been facing the problem of gradual slowdown of its potential growth rate after 2007. There are many reasons for the structural slowdown, such as