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前不久,在法国瑞昂莱潘举行的石油化工会议上,Parpinelli Tecnon咨询公司的Tony Potter指出,乙烯需求强劲的增长率已经使全球乙烯装置的利用率提高到了92%,其中1999年增长了6%,今年将再增长5%。但是,虽然在90年代末乙烯需求的增长率是全球GDP的1.6倍,乙烯工业仍然进入了生产的低谷。预计北美和中东新的世界级裂化厂的启动将使利用率和利润降低。由于1998年的亚洲金融危机导致了许多亚洲裂化项目的延期和取消,预计在经过2001年和2002年的低潮之后,
Not long ago, at the petrochemical conference held in Lyon-les-Pins, France, Tony Potter of Parpinelli Tecnon Consulting pointed out that the strong growth rate of ethylene demand has increased the utilization rate of global ethylene plants to 92%, of which the growth rate in 1999 was 6 %, this year will grow by another 5%. However, although the growth rate of ethylene demand at the end of the 1990s was 1.6 times that of global GDP, the ethylene industry still entered a production trough. It is expected that the start-up of new world-class crackers in North America and the Middle East will reduce utilization and profits. As the Asian financial crisis in 1998 led to the postponement and cancellation of many Asian cracking projects, it is expected that after the low tide in 2001 and 2002,