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由于环境等因素的影响,研制阶段制定的初始备件方案在使用初期常常无法满足装备保障要求.针对该现状,以装备的初始备件方案为先验信息,结合其使用阶段的备件消耗特性,利用Bayes方法,对其工作失效率进行了估计,并在此基础上,提出了装备使用初期的备件配置数量调整方法.仿真结果表明利用该方法调整后的备件数量能够满足装备的保障要求,与传统方法相比,本方法具有较高的估计精度和稳健性,能够更加合理配置备件方案.
Due to the influence of environment and other factors, the initial spare part scheme developed in the research and development stage can not meet the requirements of equipment support early in its use.According to the current situation, using the initial spare parts of the equipment as the priori information and the spare parts consumption characteristics of its use stage, Method, the work failure rate was estimated, and on this basis, put forward the equipment used in the early configuration of the number of spare parts to adjust the simulation results show that the use of this method to adjust the number of spare parts to meet the equipment protection requirements, and traditional methods Compared with this method, this method has higher estimation accuracy and robustness, and can more rationally configure spare parts.