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作为一位公共卫生单位的领导或管理工作人员,在公共卫生管理工作中,无论对于大事或小事,最后都要做出决定,这就是决策。若想做出正确的决策,必须按着科学的决策程序和使用科学的决策方法。决策可分为确定型决策、风险型决策、非确定型决策和竞争型决策4种类型。本文通过实例介绍对于风险型决策最常用的决策表分析法。决策表分析法是运用统计方法,通过有关表格计算出各方案的损益期望值,最后经过比较,按照最优期望值标准来选择最佳决策方案方法。例:某卫生防疫站科技开发营业部准备生产营养快餐于夏季向海滨浴场供货,供货时间预计两个月。假设每盒快餐的固定成本为1元,变动成本(售货亭、
As a leader or manager of a public health unit, in the management of public health, whether it is a major event or a trivial matter, it is ultimately necessary to make a decision. This is the decision. If you want to make the right decisions, you must follow scientific decision-making procedures and use scientific decision-making methods. Decisions can be divided into four types: deterministic decision-making, risk-based decision-making, non-deterministic decision-making and competitive decision-making. This article introduces the most commonly used decision table analysis method for risk-based decision making. The analysis method of decision table is to use statistical methods to calculate the expected profit and loss of each plan through relevant tables. After comparing, the best decision plan method is selected according to the optimal expectation value standard. Example: The Department of Science and Technology Development and Sales of a health and epidemic prevention station prepares to produce nutritious snacks and supplies it to the beach in summer. The delivery time is expected to be two months. Suppose the fixed cost per box of fast food is 1 yuan, variable cost (kiosk,