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目的为血站判断采供血形势,制定未来采供血计划和长远发展规划提供依据。方法收集2003~2010年采血量数据,利用动态数列及其分析指标测算出血液采集量的平均发展速度,预测下一年度血液采血量,并与实际采血量比较。结果预测2012年采血量为53.69吨,实际采血量53.98吨,比预计增加了0.54%。结论利用动态数列及其分析指标能比较准确地预测来年血液采集量。
Objective To determine the situation for blood collection and blood supply, to develop plans for future blood supply and long-term development planning provide the basis. Methods The data of blood collection amount collected from 2003 to 2010 were collected. The average development speed of blood collection volume was calculated by using dynamic series and its analytical indexes. The blood volume of blood was predicted in the next year and compared with the actual blood volume. The results predicted that the amount of blood collected in 2012 was 53.69 tons, the actual amount of blood 53.98 tons, an increase of 0.54% than expected. Conclusion The use of dynamic series and analysis of indicators can accurately predict the amount of blood collected the following year.