苏伊士运河航运中断?没错,作为全世界外贸依存度较高的大国,鉴于欧盟多年一直是我国最大出口市场,我们需要考虑这种假设,证实这种风险。因为这种风险在历史上已经不止一次发生过,2011年以来也再次浮现。苏伊士运河是全世界运量最大、最重要的人工通航运河,全球14%贸易量要通过这条水道进行。但令人悲哀的是,这条如此重要的航道不是位于安全地带,而是位于动荡的中东。这就决定了它自从问世之初就时刻面临多方角力和航运被人为中断的风险。就算不考虑第二次世界大战之前苏伊士运河航道数次中断的历史,即使第二次世界大战之后,苏伊士运河航运也不止中断一次,最长的一次中断近8年 Yes, as a large country with a high degree of dependence on foreign trade in the world, given that the EU has been China’s largest export market for many years, we need to consider this assumption to confirm this risk. Because this kind of risk has happened more than once in history, it has emerged again since 2011. The Suez Canal is the largest and most important man-made shipping canal in the world, with 14% of the world’s trade going through this channel. Sadly, however, this important channel is not located in a safe place but in a turbulent Middle East. This has determined that it has always been faced with the multiple wrestling and the risk of artificially disrupted shipping since its inception. Even without considering the history of several disruptions to the Suez Canal route prior to the Second World War, even after the Second World War, the Suez Canal shipping was discontinued more than once, with the longest interruption lasting nearly eight years