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以循环经济理论为基础,结合北京市经济社会与生态环境现状,通过相关系数分析去除共性指标,构建以区域循环经济发展评价为目标层,以社会发展、经济发展、生态环境状况及循环发展潜力4要素为准则层,以31个具体指标为指标层的区域循环经济发展评价指标体系。运用德尔菲-层次分析法Delphi-AHP对各指标赋权,构建新时期背景下北京市区域循环经济发展评价模型。评价结果表明,2008-2012年,北京市区域循环经济发展整体水平十分稳定,基本处于成熟状态,系统内部状态亦逐渐趋于平稳。但不良的生态环境已成为制约北京市区域循环经济健康发展的关键因素,政府应继续加大生态环境建设投入,同时完善区域循环经济统计报表制度,以确保北京市区域循环经济的可持续发展。
Based on the theory of circular economy, combined with the status quo of economic, social and ecological environment in Beijing, the common index is removed through the correlation coefficient analysis, and the evaluation of regional circular economy is taken as the target level. Based on the social development, economic development, ecological environment and potential for cycle development 4 elements as a guideline layer, with 31 specific indicators as the indicator level of regional circular economy development evaluation index system. Employing Delphi - AHP Method to Empower Each Indicator and Constructing an Evaluation Model of Regional Recycling Economy in Beijing in the New Era. The evaluation results show that from 2008 to 2012, the overall level of circular economy development in Beijing was very stable, basically in a mature state, and the internal state of the system also gradually stabilized. However, the bad ecological environment has become the key factor restricting the healthy development of circular economy in Beijing. The government should continue to increase investment in ecological environment construction and perfect the system of statistical report of circular economy in order to ensure the sustainable development of circular economy in Beijing.