根据某厂1580mm热轧轧辊磨损数据的分析,考虑轧制钢种和轧辊非均匀磨损的影响因素,对轧辊磨损预报模型进行了改进,并对模型参数进行了优化。经实验验证,改进后模型预测值与实测值较接近,提高了轧辊的磨损预报精度。 According to the analysis of the wear data of a 1580mm hot rolling mill in a certain factory, considering the influence factors of the nonuniform wear of the rolling steel and the roll, the wear prediction model of the roll is improved and the model parameters are optimized. The experimental verification shows that the predicted value of the improved model is close to the measured value, which improves the wear prediction accuracy of the roll.