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2003年我国生产资料价格全线上涨,钢铁平均上涨了10.1％;建材上涨16.5％。生产资料价格的上涨能否传导到消费领域,经济界对此存在分歧,一方认为虽然会产生时滞,但依然会有效传导至消费品领域,进而推动消费品价格攀升;另一方则认为可能性不大,因为缺乏有效传导机制。 居民消费价格指数(CPI)上涨趋势从去年10月就已开始,11、12月份表现得尤。其显著,最新权威统计显示,2003年12份CPI上涨3.2％,这种快速上涨是使得经济界开始认为生产资料价格将推动消费品价格上涨的佐证,但这种趋势是否真的可以延续呢,在这种分歧中又各自存在哪些市场机会呢?请看本期的正方反方专题。
In 2003, the price of China’s means of production rose across the board, with average steel prices rising by 10.1%; building materials rose by 16.5%. Whether the rise in the prices of production materials can be transmitted to the consumer sector, the economic community is divided on this issue. One party believes that although there will be time lags, it will still be effectively transmitted to the consumer goods sector, which in turn will push up the prices of consumer goods; the other side believes that it is unlikely. Because of the lack of effective transmission mechanisms. The rising trend of the consumer price index (CPI) has started since last October, and it has performed particularly well in November and December. It is remarkable that the latest authoritative statistics show that the 12 CPIs rose by 3.2% in 2003. This rapid increase is the evidence that the economic community began to think that the price of production materials will boost the price of consumer goods. But is this trend really sustainable? What kind of market opportunities exist in this disagreement? Look at the positive and negative aspects of this issue.