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自加入世贸组织以来,我国对日反倾销件数总体呈现出增长趋势,日本已成为我国对外反倾销第二大对象国。为了探究我国对日反倾销的决定性因素,本文通过建立数量经济模型并结合1999年到2010年间的相关统计数据,进行了实证分析。结果表明,我国国内失业率的增加以及中日贸易逆差的出现会增加我国对日反倾销,而实质GDP增加率、整体贸易收支和进口渗透度等因素不是影响我国对日反倾销的决定性宏观因素。
Since China’s accession to the WTO, the anti-dumping cases against Japan have shown an overall trend of growth as a whole. Japan has become the second largest target country for anti-dumping in the Mainland. In order to explore the decisive factor of China’s anti-dumping against Japan, this paper conducts an empirical analysis through the establishment of a quantitative economic model and a combination of relevant statistical data from 1999 to 2010. The results show that the increase of the domestic unemployment rate and the emergence of the Sino-Japanese trade deficit will increase our anti-dumping against Japan. However, the factors such as the real GDP growth rate, the overall trade balance and import penetration are not the decisive macroeconomic factors that affect our country’s anti-dumping against Japan.