在信息社会里,收集、整理和分析数据,以及对事件发生的可能性,做出合理的推断和预测,已成为人人必备的基本素养,是学生适应未来生活和进一步学习不可缺少的基本知识和基本技能。为了更好地全面提升小学生对概率(可能性)的应用意识,促进学生全面、持续、和谐地发展,我们要寻求最佳的策略,科学合理地 In the information society, collecting, organizing and analyzing data, and making reasonable inferences and projections about the probability of an incident have become the essential basic qualities for all, and are indispensable for students to adapt themselves to future life and to further their studies. Knowledge and basic skills. In order to improve students’ sense of probability (probability) and promote their development in a comprehensive, sustained and harmonious way, we must seek the best strategy and scientifically and reasonably