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考虑到当前全球主要经济体的基本面,和在此基础上对大宗商品价格的判断,以及作为大国经济的中国对国际市场可能产生的溢出影响,我们可以看到:来自国际方面的供给、需求冲击将趋于缓解,在未来中短期内,我国通胀形势面临的压力将更多地来自国内方面。全球主要经济体复苏乏力从包括美、英、德、法、日,以及金砖四国在内的全球主要经济体的复苏状况来看,2010年3季度以来半年多的情况表明:除中、德、法、俄的经济增速得
Taking into account the fundamentals of the world’s major economies and judgments on commodity prices based on this, as well as the possible spillover effects of China as a big economy on international markets, we can see that supply and demand from international sources The impact will tend to ease. In the short to medium term, the pressure on China’s inflation will come from domestic sources. The recovery of the world’s major economies is sluggish From the recovery of the world’s major economies including the United States, Britain, Germany, France, Japan and the BRIC countries, the situation since the third quarter of 2010 shows that: In addition to China and Germany France, Russia’s economic growth too