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中国内地经济参数的变动,形成影响澳门经济运行轨迹的一系列变量。中国内地自2005年7月开始实行汇率制度改革以来,人民币对美元升值的步伐不断加快。人民币升值对澳门特别行政区的经济产生了一系列重要影响,引发了澳门产业发展的新变化。基于此,文章以人民币汇率变动参数作为切入点,从澳门四大传统支柱产业(博彩旅游业、建筑地产业、金融业、出口加工业)的角度,采用回归分析和相关系数分析方法,分别就人民币升值对澳门四大传统支柱产业的影响效应进行模型拟合实证分析,研究结果显示人民币升值对澳门经济存在显著影响。
Changes in the economic parameters of the Mainland have led to the formation of a series of variables that affect the trajectory of Macao’s economy. Since the implementation of the exchange rate reform in China in July 2005, the pace of RMB appreciation against the U.S. dollar has been accelerating. The appreciation of RMB has had a series of important influences on the economy of the Macao Special Administrative Region, triggering new changes in the development of Macao’s industry. Based on this, the article takes the RMB exchange rate fluctuation parameters as the starting point, and from the perspectives of the four traditional pillar industries of Macau (tourism, construction industry, finance, export processing), using regression analysis and correlation coefficient analysis, The impact of RMB appreciation on the four traditional pillar industries in Macao is modeled by an empirical analysis. The results show that RMB appreciation has a significant impact on the economy of Macao.