新的世纪即将到来。在经历了二十世纪的剧烈变动之后，我们在欣喜地迎接二十一世纪的同时，认为新的世纪仍将充满着剧烈而深刻的变动，同时又必然是二十世纪发展的延续。不顾及前者就难以主动应变，不顾及后者就难以在把握来龙去脉的基础上预测未来。对新世纪的认识和分析，需 The new century is coming. After experiencing the drastic changes in the 20th century, while we are delighted to welcome the 21st century, we believe that the new century will still be filled with drastic and profound changes while inevitably a continuation of the development of the 20th century. Regardless of the former, it is difficult to take the initiative to take the initiative, regardless of the latter will be difficult to predict the future based on the context. Knowledge and analysis of the new century needs to be