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居民消费水平与经济增长之间的关系,一直是很多学者研究的焦点,本文根据1996年-2010年GDP和城乡储蓄存款年末余额、财政支出总量、固定资产投资总额的数据,对影响GDP的因素的关系进行了探讨。本文运用统计分析方法和计量经济分析方法,建立国内生产总值及其影响因素模型。通过EVIEWS软件对模型进行OLS参数估计,得到模型的数学方程,说明城乡储蓄存款年末余额、财政支出总量、固定资产投资总额和上期国内生产总值这些指标对国内生产总值的影响,并分析这些影响因素的经济意义。
The relationship between household consumption level and economic growth has been the focus of many scholars’ research. Based on the data of GDP, urban-rural savings deposits at the end of the year from 1996 to 2010, the total amount of financial expenditure and the total investment in fixed assets, Factors of the relationship were discussed. This paper uses statistical analysis and econometric methods to establish a model of GDP and its influencing factors. The OLS parameters of the model are estimated by EVIEWS software, and the mathematical equations of the model are obtained. The impact of the indicators such as year-end savings deposit, total fiscal expenditure, total fixed asset investment and previous GDP on urban GDP is analyzed and analyzed The economic significance of these factors.