被迫进行的经济结构调整曾被誉为“经济增长中心”和“世界经济发展中心”的东南亚国家最近的经济状况也陷于相当严峻的状态。初级产品市场的萎缩和石油价格的下跌说明包围着东盟国家的国际经济环境并不佳、东盟国家在其长期经济发展过程中经常遭遇到这种国际经济环境恶化的情况,日本与其他资本主义发达国家也或多或少在所难免。本文拟根据近期来国际经济环境的变化探讨东盟国家(文莱除外)的中长期经济展望。 Forced economic restructuring The Southeast Asian countries, once reputed as “economic growth centers” and “world centers for economic development,” have also been facing a rather sluggish economic situation. The shrinkage of the primary product market and the drop in the oil price point to the unfavorable international economic environment surrounding the ASEAN countries. ASEAN countries often experience such worsening of the international economic environment in their long-term economic development. Japan and other capitalist developed countries Countries are more or less inevitable. This article intends to explore the long-term economic outlook for the ASEAN countries (except Brunei) based on the recent changes in the international economic environment.