对当前投资形势的基本判断 经过3年宏观调控的努力,社会总供给与总需求的矛盾趋于缓和,抑制通货膨胀取得明显成效。今年上半年,国内生产总值同比增长9.8％,工业增加值增长13.2％,夏粮产量创历史最好水平,社会商品零售价格总水平上涨7.1％,财政金融形势保持稳定,进出口贸易基本平衡,国家外汇 Basic Judgment on the Current Investment Situation After three years of macroeconomic regulation and control efforts, the contradiction between the total social supply and the total demand has tended to be alleviated, and the remarkable effect of curbing inflation has been achieved. In the first half of this year, the GDP grew by 9.8% and the industrial added value increased by 13.2%. The output of summer grain reached the historical best level. The retail price of social products rose by 7.1%. The financial and financial situation remained stable with a basically balanced import and export trade, National foreign exchange