Regional Temperature Forecast for the Next Day in Hong Kong

来源 :气象学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:hbuxiaoming
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
For a century or so,the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) has been providing temperature forecast for the whole of Hong Kong with the HKO Headquarters as the reference location.In recent decades,due to spreading of population from the main urban center to satellite towns,there is an increasing demand for regional temperature forecasts.To support such provision,the HKO has developed a regression model to provide objective guidance to forecasters in formulating forecasts of maximum and minimum temperatures for the next day at various locations in Hong Kong.In this paper,the regression model is presented,together with the assessment of its performance.Based on the verification of one year of forecasts,it is found that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of maximum (minimum) temperature forecasts are from about 1.3 to 2.1 (1.1 to 1.4) degrees,respectively.The regression model is shown to have generally out-performed the operational regional spectral model then operated by HKO.Regional temperature forecast methods of other meteorological or research centers are also surveyed.Equipped with the regression model,the HKO has launched an online regional temperature forecast service for the next day in Hong Kong since March 2008.
其他文献
[目的]寻找烤烟(Nicotiana tabacum L.)漂浮育苗的替代基质。[方法]用黄土替代烤烟漂浮育苗基质,研究烤烟生长情况。采用随机区组设计,试验设5个处理,分别为:70%黄土装盘后填
[目的]为杂交中稻的合理施肥提供理论依据。[方法]通过田间试验,研究钾肥运筹对中籼稻产量和钾素积累利用的影响。[结果]施钾可以显著提高水稻产量。在120 kg/hm2施钾量下,钾
[目的]为了比较香根草、苜蓿和三叶草对土壤盐分吸收能力的优劣。[方法]采用不同等级的NaCl溶液或K2CO3溶液,定期定量浇灌栽培在同质地土壤上的香根草、苜蓿和三叶草。通过5
通过反例讨论了动力学互相关因子指数定义的错误所在,同时给出了正确的定义.
在建立高斯型连续激光辐照InSb(PV)型探测器物理模型的基础上,采用近似解析解的形式计算了圆柱形InSb靶板的2维温度场.通过数值分析得出了在激光辐照时,InSb(PV)型探测器的温
The skull ofAnshunsaurus huangnihensis Cheng,2007,especially the skull roof,is described in detail in this paper.Compared to other genera and species of Askepto
Both surface environmental monitoring and satellite remote sensing show that North China is one of the regions that are heavily polluted by NO2. Using the NO2 m
A thermostable superoxide dismutase (SOD) from the inshore thermophile Thermus sp.JM1 was purified to homogeneity by steps of fractional ammonium sulfate precip
Special transmission 3D model simulation must be based on surface discretization and reconstruction,but special transmission usually has complicated tooth shape
To simulate the DIWA353 steel used in boiler nearby recrystallization temperature accurately by using finite element,the high temperature constitutive model of