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作者依据WHO成员国结核病监测报告资料,对全球1990～2000年结核病的发病与死亡情况作了预测,同时,对影响该病发生及死亡的人口统计学因素(如全球人口数量增加与老龄化)及流行病学因素(如HIV感染)的不良效应及干预计划的有利作用进行了分析。
The author predicted the incidence and mortality of tuberculosis in the world from 1990 to 2000 according to the WHO surveillance reports on tuberculosis in the member countries. Meanwhile, the demographic factors (such as the increase of population and aging) And the adverse effects of epidemiological factors such as HIV infection and the beneficial effects of intervention programs.