预测技术已成为当代系统管理中的一项重要内容。在整过系统管理过程中,通过必要的预测来为决策提供依据。由于预测技术是根据过去的历史资料、经验总结并结合客观条件的变化预测事物的发展趋势,立足于客观实际,具有鲜明的科学性,因而被广泛地应用于各个行业、部门、企业的管理。在电力行业管理中,运用预测技术预测需电量及电力负荷发展,预测已成为供电部门计划、生产、经营活动的重要前提条件。 在现代设备管理过程中,由于对设备的安全性、可靠性、经济性要求更高,如何在保证设备安全可靠的前提下,提高设备效率,避免大拆大换、降低生产成本和检修工作量,尽量避免盲目检修,已成了设备管理的一项重要内容。由于预测技术对我们的各种管理行为具有较强的指导作用,做好必要的设备预 Forecasting technology has become an important part of contemporary system management. In the entire system management process, through the necessary predictions to provide the basis for decision-making. Because forecasting technology is based on past historical data, experience summary and forecasting the development trend of things in light of changes in objective conditions, based on objective reality, with a clear scientific, it is widely used in the management of various industries, departments, and enterprises. In the power industry management, forecasting technology is used to forecast the development of power demand and power load. Forecasting has become an important prerequisite for the planning, production and operation of the power supply sector. In the modern equipment management process, due to the higher requirements for equipment safety, reliability, and economy, how to improve the equipment efficiency without sacrificing the safety and reliability of the equipment, avoiding large-scale demolition and replacement, reducing production costs and maintenance workload , To avoid blind inspections has become an important part of equipment management. Because forecasting technology has a strong guiding role for our various management behaviors, we must make necessary equipment pre-