,Estimating index of population trend by re-sampling techniques (jackknife and bootstrap) and its ap

来源 :中国昆虫科学(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:a2009090720
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Taking a published natural population life table office leaf roller, Cnaphalocrocis medinalis (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae), as an example, we estimated the population trend index,I, via re-sampling methods (jackknife and bootstrap), determined its statistical properties and illustrated the application of these methods in determining the control effectiveness of bio-agents and chemical insecticides. Depending on the simulation outputs, the smoothed distribution patte of the estimates of I by delete-1 jackknife is visually distinguishable from the normal density, but the smoothed patte produced by delete-d jackknife, and logarithm-transformed smoothed pattes produced by both empirical and parametric bootstraps,matched well the corresponding normal density. Thus, the estimates of I produced by delete-1 jackknife were not used to determine the suppressive effect of wasps and insecticides. The 95% percent confidence intervals or the narrowest 95 percentiles and Z-test criterion were employed to compare the effectiveness of Trichogrammajaponicum Ashmead and insecti-cides (powder, 1.5% mevinphos + 3% alpha-hexachloro cyclohexane) against the rice leaf roller based on the estimates of I produced by delete-d jackknife and bootstrap techniques.At α= 0.05 level, there were statistical differences between wasp treatment and control, and between wasp and insecticide treatments, if the normality is ensured, or by the narrowest 95 percentiles. However, there is still no difference between insecticide treatment and control.By Z-test criterion, wasp treatment is better than control and insecticide treatment with P-value<0.01. Insecticide treatment is similar to control with P-value > 0.2 indicating that 95% confidence intervals procedure is more conservative. Although similar conclusions may be drawn by re-sampling techniques, such as the delta method, about the suppressive effect of trichogramma and insecticides, the normality of the estimates can be checked and guaranteed, and the correlation among sequential life stages of rice leaf roller is also considered in the estimation. Judged by the P-values from Z-test, the delta method is more conservative.
其他文献
The sunn pest, Eurygaster integriceps Put. has a wide distribution in the Palearctic region. It is the most important pest problem of wheat in Turkey. The objec
培养学生具有正确的情感态度与高尚的审美价值观是提高学生英语综合素质的重要途径.情感教育的运用有利于调整学生的学习心态,激活学生学习英语的潜能.在英语教学中采用正确
在初中语文教学中,教师必须重视对初中生想象力的培养,这不仅只是对想象力的注重,更是对学生语文综合知识、能力的注重;学生有了丰富的想象力,就能够更快速地学习好语文知识
干旱、盐害、极端温度、化学毒害和氧化胁迫等非生物胁迫严重影响农业生产,并导致环境退化。植物在生长发育过程中,需要对各种逆境信号作出反应,这就要求对各种功能基因的表
Three speciesofnymphalidbutterflies, Vanessacardui, V. indica and Nymphalis xanthomelas japonica, do not exhibit seasonal polyphenism in wing coloration. To det
智育的目标不仅在于发展和充实智能,而且也在于形成高尚的道德和优美的品质.数学教育作为学校教育的重要组成部分,应以它独特的风格,承担德育的任务.我在数学教学过程中,努力
品种来源与产量:该品种系黑龙江省水稻研究所育成,1990年经黑龙江省审定推广。生产试验公顷平均产量6466.1公斤。 Variety sources and yields: The breed is bred by the