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2010年11月日胶市场表现稳健,但沪胶市场却呈过山车走势,流动性收紧提速导致资金部分撤离。12月,流动性仍有收紧的需求,将继续压制市场走势;另外,轮胎企业面临困境,管理层是否会抛储或调低进口关税仍不确定,这些因素将对市场形成压力。但是2010年供需存在缺口是既定的事实,而且近期国际原油价格的走势并不悲观,可能会对天然橡胶价格形成提振。综合分析,11月下半月天然橡胶价格的大幅回调已经在较大程度上消化了一些利空因素,即便后期仍受到压制,价格继续下跌的空间也不会太大,但反弹也将受制,市场走势或以宽幅震荡为主,价格波动区间在29000～35000元之间。
November 2010 on the rubber market performance is steady, but the Hujiao market was roller coaster trend, liquidity tightening led to the withdrawal of funds in part. In December, there will still be tighter liquidity demand, will continue to suppress the market trend; In addition, the tire industry is facing difficulties, the management will throw or lower import tariffs are still uncertain, these factors will put pressure on the market. However, the gap between supply and demand in 2010 is an established fact. Moreover, the recent trend of international crude oil prices is not pessimistic and may boost the price of natural rubber. Comprehensive analysis, the second half of November, a substantial correction in natural rubber prices have largely digested a number of negative factors, even if the latter are still suppressed, the price will continue to decline in the space will not be too much, but the rebound will also be subject to control, the market trend Or mainly to wide shocks, the price range between 29,000 ~ 35,000 yuan.