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产品内分工的形成、发展和演变对国际间的经济合作、一国国民经济的发展以及企业的经营运作等多方面会产生巨大的影响。而近年来人民币汇率变动对我国经济增长的影响也是受各界瞩目的一个热点问题。因此研究该问题具有极其重要的现实意义与理论意义。本文首先从理论层面上探讨了汇率变动是如何通过产品内分工条件下的进出口贸易和国际直接投资来影响一国的经济增长的,在收集了1981年-2009年的年度数据后利用协整分析检验人民币实际有效汇率是否可以通过进出口贸易和国际直接投资来影响我国的经济增长。最后,针对当前人民币的升值提出适当的政策建议。
The formation, development and evolution of intra-product division of labor will have a huge impact on international economic cooperation, the development of the national economy of a country, and the operation and operation of enterprises. In recent years, the impact of RMB exchange rate changes on China’s economic growth is also a hot issue that has attracted the attention of all circles. Therefore, to study this issue has extremely important practical and theoretical significance. This paper firstly explores how the exchange rate changes affect the economic growth of a country through the import and export trade and the international direct investment (FDI) under the conditions of intra-product division of labor from a theoretical perspective. After collecting the annual data from 1981 to 2009, Analyze and test whether RMB real effective exchange rate can affect China’s economic growth through import and export trade and international direct investment. Finally, we put forward appropriate policy recommendations for the current RMB appreciation.