所有有关因果分析的论题,都在追寻事物的原因和事件的真相。在人类的发展史上,正是由于总在追寻、探索纷繁复杂的事物、现象背后那些起决定性作用的东西,想要挖掘事件、现象背后的因果关系,在不断理清因果关系、回答因果关系问题的同时,人类自身也逐渐积累起关于外在客观世界的知识。文章试图通过梳理社会科学中的因果分析问题,从英国科学哲学家罗伊·巴斯卡的批判实在论思想对因果分析问题给予一种实证主义视角的探新回应。 All the relevant causal analysis of the topic, are looking for the cause of the matter and the truth of the incident. In the history of mankind’s development, it is precisely because of those things that are always in the pursuit and exploration of numerous and complex things and phenomena that play a decisive role. They want to find causal relationships behind events and phenomena, constantly clarify causal relationships and answer causal relationships At the same time, human beings themselves have gradually accumulated their knowledge of the external objective world. The article tries to sort out the problem of causality analysis in social science and give a positivist response to the issue of causal analysis from the perspective of critical realism by Roy Pascal, a British philosopher of science.