世纪之交的中国社会 ,传载文化的主导形式正发生着历史性的转变。这一不可逆转的进程导致文学命运的历史性改变 ,同时也引发对此持不同态度的文学知识分子的争论。本文认为 ,着眼于中国社会的历史处境与未来走向 ,我们必须以一种深广的历史视野来审视这一转型及其面临的机遇与挑战 ,并作出符合历史潮流的理性选择 In the Chinese society at the turn of the century, the dominant form of carrying culture is undergoing a historic shift. This irreversible process led to a historic change in the fate of literature and at the same time triggered controversy among literary intellectuals with different attitudes. This paper argues that looking at the historical situation and the future direction of Chinese society, we must examine this transition and the opportunities and challenges it faces in a broad historical perspective and make rational choices in line with the historical trend