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有关人士预测目前我国经济周期收缩期将在1995年12月达谷底,1996年开始新的一轮扩张,大约在1998年下半年达到景气高峰,从而预期1994年～2000年我国经济历年发展速度为11％、8％、8％、9％、10％、9％、8％;年均增长率为9.5％。我国钢材消费量的波动与国民经济基建投资波动密切相关,基本建设投资膨胀引起钢材消费膨胀;同样,基建规模收缩也引起钢材消费量的下降。
The people concerned predicted that at present the contraction period of China’s economic cycle will reach the bottom in December 1995 and a new round of expansion in 1996 will reach its peak in about the second half of 1998. Therefore, it is expected that from 1994 to 2000, the economic growth rate of our country will be 11%, 8%, 8%, 9%, 10%, 9%, 8% with an average annual growth rate of 9.5%. The fluctuation of steel consumption in our country is closely related to the fluctuation of investment in infrastructure of the national economy. The expansion of capital construction investment causes the steel consumption to expand. Similarly, the shrinkage of infrastructure scale also causes the steel consumption to drop.