本文利用1989~2003年陕西省相关数据,应用组合预测模型对陕西省目标年卫生人力资源需求量进行预测,在预测过程中既考虑了预测的精度,又考虑了预测的实用性。资料与方法1.1998~2004年的《陕西统计年鉴》、《陕西卫生年鉴2002》、《2004中国卫生统计年鉴》、《中国教育统计年鉴19 This article uses Shaanxi Province’s relevant data from 1989 to 2003 to apply the combined forecasting model to forecast the human resource demand of Shaanxi Province in the target year. In the forecasting process, both the accuracy of the forecast and the practicality of the forecast are considered. Materials and Methods 1. Shaanxi Statistical Yearbook from 1998 to 2004, Shaanxi Health Yearbook 2002, China Health Statistics Yearbook 2004, and China Educational Statistics Yearbook 19