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文章首先在理论上探讨了出口贸易的CO2排放效应以及发达国家环境管制政策对于中国出口贸易CO2排放效应的影响,随后利用2001年-2010年中国17个工业行业的面板数据对理论分析结果进行了实证检验。研究结果显示,中国出口贸易有利于CO2排放水平的下降,加入中国环境管制因素进一步扩大了出口贸易的CO2排放效应;在中国环境管制的作用下,Annex B国家单方面地强化环境管制政策并未引起中国发生碳泄漏现象。
In the first part of the paper, the effects of CO2 emissions from export trade and the effects of environmental control policies in developed countries on the CO2 emissions of China’s export trade are discussed theoretically. Then the theoretical analysis results are obtained from the panel data of 17 industrial sectors in China from 2001 to 2010 Empirical test. The results show that China’s export trade is conducive to the reduction of CO2 emission level. Adding China’s environmental control factors further expand the CO2 emission effect of export trade. Under the environmental regulation in China, Annex B countries have unilaterally strengthened their environmental control policies Causing carbon leakage in China.