在宏观经济预警中,经济景气分析是一种重要、实用的方法,它不仅可以对经济波动的特征和规律做出判断,更重要的是可以通过一系列经济指标来描述经济的运行状况,反映整体经济处于繁荣或萧条、复苏或衰退阶段。相对于用GDP作为经济发展的衡量标准,景气指数依据经济循环状态,分解为先行指数、一致指数、滞后指数,从预测、适时、验证三个角 In the macroeconomic warning, the economic boom analysis is an important and practical method, which can not only judge the characteristics and laws of economic fluctuations, but more importantly, it can describe the economic operation through a series of economic indicators and reflect The overall economy is in a period of prosperity or depression, recovery or recession. Relative to the use of GDP as a measure of economic development, the economy index based on the state of economic cycle, into the leading index, consistent index, lag index, from the forecast, timely, verify the three corners