论文部分内容阅读
目的评估2016年1月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果根据近期传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,结合既往突发公共卫生事件发生情况及传染病流行特点分析,1月将是全年突发公共卫生事件报告数较少的月份之一,预计全国总报告事件数和病例数将较2015年12月有所下降。近期我国内地将继续出现人感染H7N9禽流感散发病例,不排除出现人感染其他亚型动物流感病毒病例的可能。流行性感冒、水痘、流行性腮腺炎等呼吸道传染病将出现季节性升高。近期,中东呼吸综合征在沙特仍持续有散发病例报告,我国仍存在输入风险,但进一步播散的风险极低。因燃煤取暖导致的非职业性一氧化碳中毒事件将持续高发。结论 2016年1月我国的突发公共卫生事件及传染病疫情发生态势与往年相似,处于全年较低水平;需关注人禽流感、流行性感冒、中东呼吸综合征等传染病疫情以及非职业性一氧化碳中毒引发的公共卫生风险。
Objective To assess the public health emergencies at home and abroad in January 2016 and the need to pay attention to the risks of infectious diseases. Methods According to the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and the monitoring of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was adopted to invite experts from provincial (municipalities and autonomous regions) CDC to participate in the assessment through video conferencing. Results According to the recent monitoring data of infectious diseases and public health emergencies, combined with the previous public health emergencies and the epidemiological analysis of infectious diseases, January will be one of the few months in which the number of public health emergencies will be reported less in the whole year, The number of nationally reported incidents and cases is expected to decline from December 2015. Recently, there will continue to be cases of H7N9 avian influenza infection in mainland China and the possibility of people infected with other subtype avian influenza viruses will not be ruled out. Seasonal epidemics of respiratory infections such as influenza, chicken pox and mumps will occur. Recently, Middle East respiratory syndrome continues to be reported in Saudi Arabia. There is still a risk of importation in our country, but the risk of further spread is extremely low. Non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning caused by coal-fired heating will continue to rise. Conclusion In January 2016, the epidemic situation of public health emergencies and infectious diseases in China was similar to that in previous years, with a low level in the whole year. We should pay attention to the epidemic situation of infectious diseases such as human bird flu, influenza and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome, Public health risk from sexual carbon monoxide poisoning.