由于美国经济复苏步入正轨,为了避免引发通胀,并减轻联邦政府的重负,财政紧缩政策或将提上日程。但是,由于在紧缩财政政策的基础上再紧缩货币政策对经济的打击很大,因此,2011年美联储加息的概率较小。我们预测2011年1季度的消费增速在1.6%,大幅度低于2010年第4季度,这意味着短期内美国经济增速将放缓。欧洲央行加息对美联储货币政 With the U.S. economy recovering on the right track, fiscal austerity measures may be put on the agenda in order to avoid triggering inflation and reducing the burden on the federal government. However, since the tightening of monetary policy on the basis of further tightening monetary policy hit the economy a great deal, the probability of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in 2011 is relatively small. We forecast a 1.6% growth in consumption in the first quarter of 2011, significantly lower than the fourth quarter of 2010, which means the U.S. economy will slow in the short term. European Central Bank raising interest rates on the Federal Reserve monetary policy