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樊刚 (北京国民经济研究所所长) 一、此次SARS危机的两个特点 1.直接受到危害的人数不多,但是引起的恐慌很大。这跟战争、地震、洪水不太一样。但SARS直接涉及的人和影响面是有限的。 2.其它灾难过后会创造需求,会创造新的GDP的活动。SARS并不毁坏原有的物质财富,但是它停止了现有的物质生活,停止了旅游,停止了一些服务性的消费活动,很多商务活动受到了影响,很多投资活动延期。因此SARS是减少GDP,减少需求,减少人们的经济活动。
Fan Gang (Director, Beijing Institute of National Economy) I. Two Features of the SARS Crisis 1. There are not many people directly harmed, but panic caused by them is great. This is not the same with war, earthquakes and floods. However, the people and impact areas directly involved in SARS are limited. 2. Other disasters will create demand, will create new GDP activities. SARS does not destroy the original material wealth, but it stopped the existing material life, stopped tourism, stopped some service consumption activities, many business activities were affected, and many investment activities were delayed. Therefore, SARS is to reduce GDP, reduce demand and reduce people’s economic activities.