全球GDP与贸易:各国央行将继续把利率维持在低水平,同时按购买力平价计算,世界经济增长率超过3.3%的可能性不大。虽然民粹主义大有兴起之势,但全球贸易或可上升3个百分点。新兴市场作为一个整体,其增长率大约可从2016年的4%升至4.6%。金融服务业:增长疲软、低利率和严格的监管体系恐将持续 Global GDP and Trade: Central banks in all countries will continue to maintain their interest rates at a low level. However, at purchasing power parity terms, it is unlikely that the world economy will grow at a rate exceeding 3.3%. Although populism is on the rise, global trade may rise by 3 percentage points. Emerging markets as a whole have seen their growth rate increase to about 4.6% from about 4% in 2016. Financial Services: Weak growth, low interest rates and a tight regulatory regime will continue