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以凯恩斯绝对收入假说为基础,结合国民收入决定理论及杜森贝利相对收入假说,构建地方财政支出对农村居民文化消费影响的动态模型。利用2007-2015年山东省17个地级市的面板数据,分析了生产性购买性和服务性购买支出对农村居民文化消费的影响,研究发现:(1)时间层面,地方财政生产性购买支出和服务性购买支出对农村居民文化消费均具有滞后效应;(2)地区层面,相对于发达城市,欠发达城市的生产性购买支出和服务性购买支出对农村居民文化消费的影响更显著,并据此提出了相关政策建议。
Based on the Keynesian absolute income hypothesis, this paper constructs a dynamic model of the impact of local fiscal expenditure on cultural consumption of rural residents based on the theory of national income determination and Dusenberry’s relative income hypothesis. Using the panel data of 17 prefecture-level cities in Shandong province from 2007 to 2015, this paper analyzes the impact of productive purchasing and service purchasing expenditure on rural residents’ cultural consumption. The findings are as follows: (1) At the time level, the expenditure of local fiscal producer purchasing (2) At the district level, the productive purchasing expenditure and service purchasing expenditure of less developed cities have a more significant impact on the cultural consumption of rural residents than the developed cities, and Accordingly, the relevant policy suggestions are put forward.