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近年来,商务人员流动一直是APEC贸易投资便利化合作的重要领域。文章构建了商务人员流动的新指标体系,实证考察了商务人员流动对APEC区域内双边货物出口、制造业产品出口的影响。研究表明:(1)从APEC每个经济体持有的商务旅行卡总体看,2010年APEC商务旅行卡存量和流量增加对APEC区域内双边货物出口有显著的促进作用,对APEC区域内制造业产品出口的影响比对货物出口的影响要大;2014年10月商务旅行卡存量增加促进了APEC区域内双边货物出口。(2)从APEC经济体之间的商务旅行构成看,商务旅行总人数、总次数对2010年APEC区域内货物出口起正向作用,对制造业产品的出口有影响为负,但均不显著;考虑商务人员旅行的来源地、目的地、经济发达程度等因素后,商务旅行总人数、总次数对APEC双边货物出口、制造业产品出口影响的方向与显著程度也有差异。
In recent years, the flow of business people has been an important area for APEC’s trade and investment facilitation cooperation. The article constructs a new index system of the flow of business people and empirically examines the influence of the flow of business people on the export of bilateral goods and the export of manufacturing products within the APEC area. The results show that: (1) According to the overall business travel cards held by each economy of APEC, the increase of APEC business travel card stock and traffic volume in 2010 can significantly promote the export of bilateral goods within the APEC region. The manufacturing industry in the APEC region The impact of exports on exports was greater than that on exports of goods; the increase in commercial card purchases in October 2014 facilitated the export of bilateral goods within the APEC region. (2) According to the composition of business travel between APEC economies, the total number of business trips and the total number have a positive effect on the export of goods in the APEC region in 2010, and have a negative impact on the export of manufacturing products, but both are insignificant Taking into account factors such as the origin, destination and level of economic development of business travelers, the total number of business trips and the total number of trips also have different effects on the export of APEC goods and the export of manufacturing products.