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缓解通胀压力成为当前宏观调控的主要目标,目前很多研究认为进口价格波动推升了我国物价水平。本文利用价格累积效应检验的方法,从理论和实证角度分析了国外价格波动对国内物价变动的影响,国外进口商品价格的变化在39.52%的程度上解释中国物价的变化,可以看出国外进口商品价格变化不是导致中国物价变化的主要原因,但也具有重要影响。同时,这种影响在不同的国家地区和不同的产品上具有很大的差异。从而提出了相应的对策。
To ease the inflationary pressure has become the main objective of the current macroeconomic regulation and control. At present, many studies think that the fluctuation of import prices has pushed up the price level in our country. In this paper, we use the method of price cumulative effect test to analyze the impact of foreign price fluctuations on domestic price changes from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. The change of the price of imported goods explains the change of China’s price to the extent of 39.52%. It can be seen that foreign imports Price changes are not the main cause of price changes in China, but they also have important implications. At the same time, the impact varies greatly from region to country and from product to product. Thus put forward the corresponding countermeasure.