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随着改革的深化,中国经济中呈现出的深层次结构矛盾所引起的一些现象,在其他国家极少或未曾出现,既往的经济理论已难以解释。面对这种情况,不做任何创新沿用现有的宏观调控政策是很难从根本上解决问题的。文章对宏观调控政策本身存在的问题,以及造成中国宏观调控效果偏差的原因进行分析,在理论上对凯恩斯需求管理理论的假设条件进行修正,通过短期供给不足和长期要素匮乏论指出需求管理通常不可能实现充分就业,并提出一些避免经济陷入滞胀的办法。
With the deepening of the reform, some phenomena arising from the deep-seated structural contradictions in the Chinese economy have been rare or never appeared in other countries and the previous economic theories have been hard to explain. In the face of this situation, it is very difficult to fundamentally solve the problem without any innovation to follow the existing macro-control policies. This article analyzes the existing problems of the macro-control policy itself and the causes of the deviation of the results of macroeconomic regulation and control in China. It amends the assumptions of Keynes’s theory of demand management in theory, and points out that demand management usually does not require short-term supply deficiencies and long- It may be possible to achieve full employment and put forward some solutions to prevent the economy from falling into a state of stagnation.