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从上海自贸区的改革蓝图中,我们看到了借力于人民币的国际化而带来中国话语权增强的希望;我们看到了随着中国第三代企业家群体的崛起而带来的中国改革持续深化的希望;我们看到了上海经济桥头堡地位的重塑而带来的中国转型升级的希望。当然,我们也看到了自贸区试点从“制度创新”异化为“政策红利”的风险;看到了因为对权利和资本缺乏约束而使自贸区的改革被既得利益绑架的风险;看到了美元周期逆转而使上海自贸区异化为国际“热钱”进出通道的风险。因此,在我们看来,上海自贸区的未来建设有两个抓手:一是坚持人民币的国际化和金融开放服务于实体经济的宗旨;二是以负面清单管理为契机深化政府职能的转变,以便对新兴权利和资本进行必要的规范和约束。
From the blueprint for the reform of Shanghai’s FTA, we have seen the hope of leveraging on the internationalization of the renminbi to bring about an increase in the voice of China. We have witnessed the Chinese reforms brought about by the rise of China’s third generation of entrepreneurs Continued deepening hope; we have seen the hope of transformation and upgrading of China brought about by the reshaping of Shanghai’s economic bridgehead. Of course, we also saw the risk of piloting free trade zones from “system innovation” to “policy dividend”; seeing the risk that the reform of the free trade zone was abducted by vested interests because of the lack of rights and capital constraints ; Saw the risk of reversing the cycle of the US dollar and alienating the Shanghai FTA into an international “hot money” entry and exit channel. Therefore, in our opinion, there are two starting points for the future construction of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone: one is to insist on the internationalization of Renminbi and the opening up of financial services to the real economy; and the other is to take the opportunity of negative list management to deepen the transformation of government functions In order to regulate and bind the emerging rights and capital as necessary.