美国对阿富汗进行军事打击之初,各方对美国是否能取得胜利,抑或将重蹈苏联侵阿覆辙而陷入战争泥潭心存疑问。然而时间不过两月,本·拉登的“基地”组织和塔利班政权土崩瓦解,新的阿富汗临时政府宣告成立。变化之快,人们始料未及。分析起来,塔利班政权的极端主义政策脱离人民,是使自己陷于孤立和倒台的根本原因。其次,各大国都有反对恐怖主义的需要,美国得以迅速组成反恐联盟,避免了当年苏联陷入四面楚歌的国际处境。再次,军事力量对比绝对悬殊,使美国得以在短时间内打败了塔利班。 At the very beginning of the military attack on Afghanistan by the United States, all parties have questions about whether the United States will win the victory or whether it will plunge into the quagmire of war after repeating the Soviet invasion. However, only two months later, Osama bin Laden’s al Qaeda and Taliban regimes collapsed, and a new Afghan interim government was proclaimed. Change quickly, people unexpectedly. In analysis, the extremist policies of the Taliban regime are divorced from the people and are the root cause of their isolation and downfall. Second, all major countries have the need to oppose terrorism. The United States can quickly form an anti-terrorist coalition and prevent the Soviet Union from plunging into a beleaguered international situation. Third, the absolute disparity between the military forces makes it possible for the United States to defeat the Taliban within a short period of time.