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今年(2015年)的国际货币基金组织(IMF)秘鲁年会主要讨论了一个问题:中国经济下滑会在世界刚刚平息了上一场金融危机之际引发新的危机吗?但基于这个问题的这种臆断,即中国现在是全球经济的最薄弱环节颇可商榷。中国无疑经历了一个动荡之夏,原因在于三个方面:经济疲弱、金融恐慌和针对这些问题采取的政策。这其中任何一个因素本身都不会威胁到世界经济,但危险源自它们之间自我强化的相互作用:疲弱的经济数据导致金融动荡,金融动荡引起政策失误,政策失误又催生更多的金融恐慌、经济疲弱
This year (2015), the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Peru mainly discusses the question: Will a slump in China cause a new crisis when the world has just settled the last financial crisis? However, based on this issue, Speculation that China is now the weakest link in the global economy is quite open to question. China undoubtedly experienced a turmoil of summer due to three reasons: the weak economy, the financial panic and the policies adopted to address these issues. None of these factors is in itself a threat to the world economy, but the danger stems from the self-reinforcing interaction between them: weak economic data lead to financial turmoil, financial turmoil causes policy errors and policy failures lead to more financial panics The economy is weak