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1997年国际市场原油价格仍处于海湾战争以来的较高水平,但与1996年相比有所回落,到11月底为止,美国西得克萨斯中质油、欧洲布伦特油及亚洲迪拜油的现货平均价分别为20.81、19.50和18.31美元/桶。世界石油市场供大于求、石油库存水平回升是1997年油价回落的主要原因,而围绕伊拉克问题不断出现的紧张局势则在全年影响着石油市场。预计1998年世界石油需求增长将进一步减缓,供应的增长仍将快于需求的增长,此外,亚洲金融危机以及伊拉克问题是影响1998年世界石油市场的潜在因素。从总体看,1998年国际原油的价格水平将低于1997年。
In 1997, the crude oil price in the international market was still at a high level since the Gulf War, but it dropped compared with that in 1996. As of the end of November, the spot average of the West Texas Intermediate, European Brent and Asian Dubai oils Prices were 20.81,19.50 and 18.31 US dollars / barrel. The oversupply of world oil markets and the recovery of oil inventories are the main reasons for the drop in oil prices in 1997, while the ongoing tensions around Iraq have affected the oil market throughout the year. It is estimated that the world oil demand growth will further slow down in 1998 and the supply growth will still be faster than the demand growth. In addition, the Asian financial crisis and the Iraqi issue are the potential factors that will affect the world oil market in 1998. In general, the international crude oil price in 1998 will be lower than in 1997.