论文部分内容阅读
本文先分析了环境规制如何通过中间变量影响产业结构升级,然后通过2000～2014年的时间序列数据,利用VAR模型、格兰杰因果关系、方差分析等方法实证分析了环境规制对产业结构升级的影响。结果表明,环境规制对消费结构、投资结构、技术进步以及FDI都有促进作用;产业结构升级与环境规制间存在长期均衡关系;污染治理投资完成额与产业结构升级互为格兰杰原因。我国应继续实施环境规制并且合理制定环境规制强度,以促进产业结构升级,实现环境保护和经济发展“共赢”。
This paper first analyzes how environmental regulation affects the upgrading of industrial structure through the use of intermediate variables, and then empirically analyzes the effects of environmental regulation on industrial structure upgrading through time series data from 2000 to 2014, using VAR models, Granger causality and analysis of variance influences. The results show that environmental regulation has a promoting effect on consumption structure, investment structure, technological progress and FDI; there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between industrial structure upgrading and environmental regulation; and Granger reason is the completion of pollution control investment and the upgrading of industrial structure. China should continue to implement environmental regulations and formulate reasonable intensity of environmental regulations in order to promote the upgrading of industrial structure and achieve environmental protection and economic development.