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针对中国在21世纪的第一个10年(2000—2009)所拥有的举世瞩目的经济增长速度,本文根据国家统计局等相关部门提供的2000—2009年国家各个区域的发展数据(省、直辖市、自治区),基于非参数方法,研究了影响中国区域经济增长和收敛的决定性因素。研究结果表明,中国经济的增长主要由位于沿海的或者拥有丰富自然资源以及高经济效率的富裕地区推动;技术变革和人力资本积累分别是中国富裕和贫穷区域增长的最主要动力,而且富裕地区的增长比贫穷地区更依赖技术变革,而贫穷地区则需要通过人力资本积累来追赶富裕地区,但是,这种收敛不足以扭转日益扩大的由技术变革造成的发展不平衡。
In view of the world-renowned economic growth rate China has enjoyed in the first decade of the 21st century (2000-2009), this paper analyzes the data from various regions of the country in 2000-2009 (provinces, municipalities and municipalities directly under the Central Government) , Autonomous regions). Based on non-parametric methods, the determinants of economic growth and convergence in China are studied. The results show that China’s economic growth is mainly driven by affluent areas located on the coast or with rich natural resources and high economic efficiency. Technological change and human capital accumulation are the main driving forces for growth in the affluent and impoverished areas of China, respectively, and in affluent areas Growth is more dependent on technological change than in poorer regions, while poverty-stricken areas need to chase wealthy areas through human capital accumulation, but such convergence is not enough to reverse the growing imbalances caused by technological change.