目前国内尿素生产以煤炭原料占70%左右。2005年煤炭市场仍然比较紧张,供需缺口将达4000万吨,将呈现为较强的“卖方市场”特征,加上运力不足等情况,2005年煤价上涨应成定局。天然气也是尿素的主要原料,2005年化肥用天然气价格也将上涨,即使这样也难免出现供应中断的现象。因此,2 At present, domestic urea production accounts for about 70% of coal raw materials. Coal market in 2005 is still relatively tight, supply and demand gap will reach 40 million tons, will show a strong “seller market” characteristics, coupled with inadequate capacity and so on, in 2005 coal prices should be a foregone conclusion. Natural gas is also the main raw material for urea. The price of natural gas for fertilizers will also rise in 2005, even though supply interruption will inevitably occur. Therefore, 2